Ice Mass Loss Mounting

from NASA

Ice Mass Loss in Greenland

Ice Mass Loss in Greenland

PASADENA, Calif. – An international team of experts supported by NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) has combined data from multiple satellites and aircraft to produce the most comprehensive and accurate assessment to date of ice sheet losses in Greenland and Antarctica and their contributions to sea level rise.

In a landmark study published Thursday in the journal Science, 47 researchers from 26 laboratories report the combined rate of melting for the ice sheets covering Greenland and Antarctica has increased during the last 20 years. Together, these ice sheets are losing more than three times as much ice each year (equivalent to sea level rise of 0.04 inches or 0.95 millimeters) as they were in the 1990s (equivalent to 0.01 inches or 0.27 millimeters). About two-thirds of the loss is coming from Greenland, with the rest from Antarctica.

This rate of ice sheet losses falls within the range reported in 2007 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The spread of estimates in the 2007 IPCC report was so broad, however, it was not clear whether Antarctica was growing or shrinking. The new estimates, which are more than twice as accurate because of the inclusion of more satellite data, confirm both Antarctica and Greenland are losing ice. Combined, melting of these ice sheets contributed 0.44 inches (11.1 millimeters) to global sea levels since 1992. This accounts for one-fifth of all sea level rise over the 20-year survey period. The remainder is caused by the thermal expansion of the warming ocean, melting of mountain glaciers and small Arctic ice caps, and groundwater mining.

The study was produced by an international collaboration — the Ice Sheet Mass Balance Inter-comparison Exercise (IMBIE) — that combined observations from 10 satellite missions to develop the first consistent measurement of polar ice sheet changes. The researchers reconciled differences among dozens of earlier ice sheet studies by carefully matching observation periods and survey areas. They also combined measurements collected by different types of satellite sensors, such as ESA’s radar missions; NASA’s Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat); and the NASA/German Aerospace Center’s Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE).

“What is unique about this effort is that it brought together the key scientists and all of the different methods to estimate ice loss,” said Tom Wagner, NASA’s cryosphere program manager in Washington. “It’s a major challenge they undertook, involving cutting-edge, difficult research to produce the most rigorous and detailed estimates of ice loss from Greenland and Antarctica to date. The results of this study will be invaluable in informing the IPCC as it completes the writing of its Fifth Assessment Report over the next year.”

Professor Andrew Shepherd of the University of Leeds in the United Kingdom coordinated the study, along with research scientist Erik Ivins of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif. Shepherd said the venture’s success is because of the cooperation of the international scientific community and the precision of various satellite sensors from multiple space agencies.

“Without these efforts, we would not be in a position to tell people with confidence how Earth’s ice sheets have changed, and to end the uncertainty that has existed for many years,” Shepherd said.

The study found variations in the pace of ice sheet change in Antarctica and Greenland.

“Both ice sheets appear to be losing more ice now than 20 years ago, but the pace of ice loss from Greenland is extraordinary, with nearly a five-fold increase since the mid-1990s,” Ivins said. “In contrast, the overall loss of ice in Antarctica has remained fairly constant, with the data suggesting a 50-percent increase in Antarctic ice loss during the last decade.”

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments closed

WMO: Climate Change is of Great Concern

The World Meteorological Organization is cautioning humanity against global warming:

Climate change and its impacts is of great concern to humanity and is one of the most serious problems facing sustainable development worldwide. Through the network of National Meteorological and Hydrological Services of its Members, WMO plays an important role in weather and climate observation and monitoring, understanding of climate processes, the development of clear, precise and user-targeted information and predictions and the provision of sector-specific climate services, including advice, tools and expertise, to meet the needs of adaptation strategies and decision-making.

Climate information for adaptation and development needs
Role of WMO and NMHSs in the implementation of the Nairobi Work Programme
The Nairobi Work Programme on impacts, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change
WMO’s role in global climate change issues
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments closed

Climate Change And Global Warming

Greenpeace says:

Stop Global Warming

We are changing our planet in a fundamental way. Our world is hotter today than it has been in two thousand years.

By the end of the century, if current trends continue, the global temperature could climb so high that the climate and weather patterns that have given rise to human civilization would be radically different.

But it didn’t happen on its own. We’re driving climate change by burning fossil fuels like coal and oil. In fact, coal-fired power plants are the single largest U.S. source of global warming pollution.

America’s coal-burning power plants, in addition to causing global warming and climate change, are killing tens of thousands of Americans, poisoning our air and water, and making our children sick.

But a brighter future is possible. Over the next three years, Greenpeace will:

1. Join local communities to shut down dangerous, dirty coal plants all across the United States.

2. Advocate for strong laws to curb global warming and put America on a path to clean energy.

3. Expose climate deniers, like the Koch Brothers, and hold them publicly accountable for providing millions of dollars to lobby against climate and clean energy policies.

4. Kick-start an Energy Revolution by advocating for clean-energy solutions like solar and wind power.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Comments closed

Extreme Ice Survey Team

The Extreme Ice Survey Team is composed of artists and scientists. The team is documenting the effects of global warming on the planet.

“To reveal the impact of climate change, James Baylod founded the Extreme Ice Survey (EIS), the most wide-ranging, ground-based, photographic study of glaciers ever conducted. National Geographic showcased this work in June 2007 and June 2010 issues. The project is also featured in the 2009 NOVA documentary “Extreme Ice,” and in the feature-length documentary, “Chasing Ice,” which premiered at the Sundance Film Festival in January 2012 (in theaters November 2012).”

“Balog, who in addition to being a photographer is a mountaineer with a graduate degree in geomorphology, recognized that extraordinary amounts of ice were vanishing with shocking speed.” The glaciers in the Rocky Mountains are expected to disappear within 20 years.

Ice Breaking Up Into Icebergs in Greenland

Ice Breaking Up Into Icebergs in Greenland

Rocky Mountains

Extreme Ice Survey http://extremeicesurvey.org/

More About Global Warning

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments closed

Another Record Warm Month Leading to Record Warm Year

State of the Climate
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Climatic Data Center

Summary Information

Global temperatures were fifth highest on record for Ocotber

Arctic sea ice doubles from last month, yet remains second lowest on record for October

The globally-averaged temperature for October 2012 was the fifth warmest October since record keeping began in 1880. October 2012 also marks the 36th consecutive October and 332nd consecutive month with a global temperature above the 20th century average.

Higher-than-average monthly temperatures were observed across much of Europe, western and far eastern Asia, northeastern and southwestern North America, central South America, northern Africa, and most of Australia. Meanwhile, much of northwestern and central North America, central Asia, parts of western and northern Europe, and southern Africa were notably below average.

Global temperature highlights: October

    • The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for October tied with 2008 as the fifth highest for October on record, at 58.23°F (14.63°C) or 1.13°F (0.63°C) above the 20th century average. The margin of error associated with this temperature is ±0.22°F (0.12°C).
October 2012 Blended Land and Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
October 2012 Blended Land & Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in °C
  • October marked the 36th consecutive October and 332nd consecutive month with a global temperature above the 20th century average. The last below-average October was October 1976 and the last below-average month was February 1985.
  • The global land temperature was the eighth warmest October on record, at 1.66°F (0.92°C) above the 20th century average of 48.7°F (9.3°C). The margin of error is ±0.13°F (0.07°C).
  • Higher-than-average monthly temperatures were most notable across Europe, western and far eastern Asia, northeastern and southwestern North America, central South America, northern Africa, and most of Australia, while temperatures were below average across much of northwestern and central North America, central Asia, parts of western and northern Europe, and southern Africa.
    • The average temperature across the United Kingdom was 2.3°F (1.3°C) below the 1981–2010 average, making it the coldest October since 2003.
    • Temperatures were above average across southeastern Europe during October. The Republic of Moldova reported monthly temperatures that ranged from 4.5 to 6.3°F (2.5 to 3.5°C) above average across the country.
    • Every state and territory in Australia observed above-average monthly maximum temperatures during October. The nationally-averaged temperature was 2.75°F (1.53°C) above the 1961–1990 average, making it the 10th warmest October maximum temperature since records began in 1950.
  • For the ocean, the October global sea surface temperature was 0.94°F (0.52°C) above the 20th century average of 60.6°F (15.9°C), tying with 2004 as the fourth highest on record for October. The margin of error is ±0.07°F (0.04°C). The northwestern Atlantic Ocean and part of the north central Pacific Ocean temperatures were markedly higher than average, while much of the eastern and part of the western Pacific Ocean and much of the southern Atlantic Ocean were below average.
  • Borderline neutral / weak El Niño conditions were present during October across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, with sea surface temperatures close to 0.9°F (0.5°C) above average for a three-month period, the official threshold for the onset of El Niño conditions. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, neutral conditions are expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere’s winter 2012/13.

Precipitation highlights: October

  • Sandy dumped copious rain over Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Cuba, and much of the eastern United States. Sandy also brought blizzard conditions to the Central and Southern Appalachians, shattering all-time U.S. October monthly and single storm snowfall records.
  • The Finnish Meteorological Institute reported that precipitation totals across western parts of the country were double the October monthly average. Some stations broke their all-time highest monthly precipitation records for October.
  • October was dry across Australia, with the country experiencing rainfall that was 48 percent of average for the month. This was the 10th driest October since precipitation records began in 1900.

Snow cover & polar ice highlights: October

    • The Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent for October was the eighth largest monthly extent in the 45-year period of record, at 734,000 square miles above average. The North American snow cover extent was the seventh largest on record for October, while the Eurasian snow cover was the 11th largest. Canada and Russia both experienced much above average October snow cover.
October 2012 Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice Extent
October 2012 Southern Hemisphere Sea Ice Extent
Arctic and Antarctic sea ice extent, from the October 2012 Global Snow & Ice Report
  • During the first full month of the annual growth cycle, Arctic sea ice doubled in size after reaching its record smallest minimum in September. The October Arctic sea ice extent was 2.7 million square miles, 24.6 percent below average. This marked the second smallest monthly sea ice extent on record—only slightly larger than the record small October extent of 2007.
  • On the opposite pole, Antarctic sea ice extent declined rapidly after reaching its largest annual maximum extent on record. October Antarctic sea ice extent was 7.3 million square miles, 3.4 percent above average, and the third largest October ice extent on record.

Global temperature highlights: Year to Date

    • Record to near-record warmth over land from April to September and above-average global ocean temperatures resulted in the first ten months of 2012 ranking as the eighth warmest such period on record, with a combined global land and ocean average surface temperature of 1.04°F (0.58°C) above the 20th century average of 57.4°F (14.1°C). The margin of error is ±0.16°F (0.09°C).
Year-to-Date Temperature Anomalies: Horserace
Year-to-date temperatures by month, with 2012 compared to the five warmest years on record
  • The January–October worldwide land surface temperature was 1.69°F (0.94°C) above the 20th century average, making this the sixth warmest such period on record. The margin of error is ±0.38°F (0.21°C).
  • The global ocean surface temperature for the year to date was 0.79°F (0.44°C) above average, tying with 1997 as the 10th warmest such period on record. The margin of error is ±0.07°F (0.04°C).

Overview

The State of the Climate Report is a collection of monthly summaries recapping climate-related occurrences on both a global and national scale. The report is comprised of the following sections:

  • Global
  • Global Analysis — a summary of global temperatures and precipitation, placing the data into a historical perspective
  • Upper Air — tropospheric and stratospheric temperatures, with data placed into historical perspective
  • Global Snow & Ice — a global view of snow and ice, placing the data into a historical perspective
  • Global Hazards — weather-related hazards and disasters around the world
  • El Niño/Southern Oscillation Analysis — atmospheric and oceanic conditions related to ENSO
  • National
  • National Overview — a summary of national and regional temperatures and precipitation, placing the data into a historical perspective
  • Drought — drought in the U.S.
  • Wildfires — a summary of wildland fires in the U.S. and related weather and climate conditions
  • Hurricanes & Tropical Storms — hurricanes and tropical storms that affect the U.S. and its territories
  • National Snow & Ice — snow and ice in the U.S.
  • Tornadoes — a summary of tornadic activity in the U.S.
  • Synoptic Discussion — a summary of synoptic activity in the U.S.
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments closed

BP Admits to Crimes in Oil Spill

The multinational oil company, British Petroleum, has admitted to criminal activities related to the Gulf of Mexico oil spill.

PRESS RELEASE

BP confirms that it is in advanced discussions with the United States Department of Justice (DoJ) and the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding proposed resolutions of all US federal government criminal and SEC claims against BP in connection with the Deepwater Horizon incident. No final agreements have yet been reached and any resolutions, if agreed, would be subject to federal court approvals in the United States.

The proposed resolutions are not expected to cover federal civil claims, including Clean Water Act claims, federal and state Natural Resource Damages claims; private civil claims in MDL 2179 that were not covered by the PSC settlement, private securities claims pending in MDL 2185 or state economic loss claims.

A further announcement will be made if and when final agreements are reached. Until final agreements are reached, there can be no certainty any such resolutions will be entered into.

RESOURCES

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Comments closed

Future Climate Projections

by NOAA

Due to the enormous complexity of the atmosphere, the most useful tools for gauging future changes are ‘climate models’. These are computer-based mathematical models which simulate, in three dimensions, the climate’s behavior, its components and their interactions. Climate models are constantly improving based on both our understanding and the increase in computer power, though by definition, a computer model is a simplification and simulation of reality, meaning that it is an approximation of the climate system. The first step in any modeled projection of climate change is to first simulate the present climate and compare it to observations. If the model is considered to do a good job at representing modern climate, then certain parameters can be changed, such as the concentration of greenhouse gases, which helps us understand how the climate would change in response. Projections of future climate change therefore depend on how well the computer climate model simulates the climate and on our understanding of how forcing functions will change in the future.

The IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios determines the range of future possible greenhouse gas concentrations (and other forcings) based on considerations such as population growth, economic growth, energy efficiency and a host of other factors. This leads a wide range of possible forcing scenarios, and consequently a wide range of possible future climates.

According to the range of possible forcing scenarios, and taking into account uncertainty in climate model performance, the IPCC projects a best estimate of global temperature increase of 1.8 – 4.0°C with a possible range of 1.1 – 6.4°C by 2100, depending on which emissions scenario is used. However, this global average will integrate widely varying regional responses, such as the likelihood that land areas will warm much faster than ocean temperatures, particularly those land areas in northern high latitudes (and mostly in the cold season). Additionally, it is very likely that heat waves and other hot extremes will increase.

AR4 Figure SPM.5

Precipitation is also expected to increase over the 21st century, particularly at northern mid-high latitudes, though the trends may be more variable in the tropics, with much of the increase coming in more frequent heavy rainfall events. However, over mid-continental areas summer-drying is expected due to increased evaporation with increased temperatures, resulting in an increased tendency for drought in those regions.

AR4 Figure SPM.7

Snow extent and sea-ice are also projected to decrease further in the northern hemisphere, and glaciers and ice-caps are expected to continue to retreat.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments closed

Forcing Islanders to Abandon Their Homes

NEW YORK CITY — Islands throughout the world are going under water. It is obvious that human induced climate change is causing the ocean temperatures to rise. The combination of rising sea levels and volatile weather produced from rising ocean temperatures is wreaking havoc across many traditional island nations. In fact, the United Nations is embarking on a mission to understand what the changes mean; however, the location of the United Nations is now looking into the mirror.  The islands are going under water… but, not in slow rising water manner.  Rather, some of the islands, such as Staten Island, are being slam dunked.

Climate Change And Hurricane Sandy: How Global Warming Might Have Made The Superstorm Worse

From Climate Central’s Andrew Freedman:

As officials begin the arduous task of pumping corrosive seawater out of New York City’s subway system and try to restore power to lower Manhattan, and residents of the New Jersey Shore begin to take stock of the destruction, experts and political leaders are asking what Hurricane Sandy had to do with climate change. After all, the storm struck a region that has been hit hard by several rare extreme weather events in recent years, from Hurricane Irene to “Snowtober.”

Scientists cannot yet answer the specific question of whether climate change made Hurricane Sandy more likely to occur, since such studies, known as detection and attribution research, take many months to complete. What is already clear, however, is that climate change very likely made Sandy’s impacts worse than they otherwise would have been.

There are three different ways climate change might have influenced Sandy: through the effects of sea level rise; through abnormally warm sea surface temperatures; and possibly through an unusual weather pattern that some scientists think bore the fingerprint of rapidly disappearing Arctic sea ice.

If this were a criminal case, detectives would be treating global warming as a likely accomplice in the crime.

Warmer, Higher Seas

Water temperatures off the East Coast were unusually warm this summer — so much so that New England fisheries officials observed significant shifts northward in cold water fish such as cod. Sea surface temperatures off the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic remained warm into the fall, offering an ideal energy source for Hurricane Sandy as it moved northward from the Caribbean. Typically, hurricanes cannot survive so far north during late October, since they require waters in the mid to upper 80s Fahrenheit to thrive.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments closed

A Hot September

State of the Climate
Global Analysis — September 2012
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Climatic Data Center

September 2012 Selected Climate Anomalies and Events MapSeptember 2012 Selected Climate
Anomalies and Events Map

Global Highlights

    • The average combined global land and ocean surface temperature for September 2012 tied with 2005 as the warmest September on record, at 0.67°C (1.21°F) above the 20th century average of 15.0°C (59.0°F). Records began in 1880.

 

    • The globally-averaged land surface temperature for September 2012 was the third warmest September on record, at 1.02°C (1.84°F) above average. The globally-averaged ocean surface temperature tied with 1997 as the second warmest September on record, at 0.54°C (0.97°F) above average.

 

    • The average combined global land and ocean surface temperature for January–September 2012 was the eighth warmest such period on record, at 0.57°C (1.03°F) above the 20th century average.

 



Introduction

Temperature anomalies and percentiles are shown on the gridded maps below. The anomaly map on the left is a product of a merged land surface temperature (Global Historical Climatology Network, GHCN) and sea surface temperature (ERSST.v3b) anomaly analysis developed by Smith et al. (2008). Temperature anomalies for land and ocean are analyzed separately and then merged to form the global analysis. For more information, please visit NCDC’s Global Surface Temperature Anomalies page. The September 2012 Global State of the Climate report introduces percentile maps that complement the information provided by the anomaly maps. These new maps on the right provide additional information by placing the temperature anomaly observed for a specific place and time period into historical perspective, showing how the most current month, season or year compares with the past.

[ top ]


Temperatures

In the atmosphere, 500-millibar height pressure anomalies correlate well with temperatures at the Earth’s surface. The average position of the upper-level ridges of high pressure and troughs of low pressure—depicted by positive and negative 500-millibar height anomalies on the September 2012 map—is generally reflected by areas of positive and negative temperature anomalies at the surface, respectively.

September
Collapse

Did You Know?

Global Temperature Percentile Maps

Global anomaly maps are an essential tool when describing the current state of the climate across the globe. Temperature anomaly maps tell us whether the temperature observed for a specific place and time period (for example, month, season, or year) was warmer or cooler than a reference value, which is usually a 30-year average, and by how much.

The August 2012 Global State of the Climate report introduces percentile maps that complement the information provided by the anomaly maps. These new maps provide additional information by placing the temperature anomaly observed for a specific place and time period into historical perspective, showing how the most current month, season or year compares with the past.

Temperature Climatological RankingIn order to place the month, season, or year into historical perspective, each grid point’s temperature values for the time period of interest (for example all August values from 1880 to 2012) are sorted from warmest to coolest, with ranks assigned to each value. The numeric rank represents the position of that particular value throughout the historical record. The length of record increases with each year. It is important to note that each grid point’s period of record may vary, but all grid points displayed in the map have a minimum of 80 years of data. For the global temperature anomaly record, the data does extend back to 1880. But not all grid points have data from 1880 to present. Considering a grid point with a period of record of 133 years, a value of “1″ in the temperature record refers to record warmest, while a value of “133″ refers to record coldest.

The Warmer than Average, Near Average, and Cooler than Average shadings on the temperature percentile maps represent the bottom, middle, and upper tercile (or three equal portions) of the sorted values or distribution, respectively. Much Warmer than Average and Much Cooler than Average, refer to the lowest and uppermost decile (top or bottom 10 percent) of the distribution, respectively. For a 133-year period, Warmer than Average (Cooler than Average) would represent one of the 44 warmest (coolest) such periods on record. However, if the value ranked among the 13 warmest (coolest) on record, that value would be classified as Much Warmer than Average (Much Cooler than Average). Near Average would represent an average temperature value that was in the middle third (rank of 45 to 89) on record.

More about climate monitoring…

The average global temperature across land and ocean surfaces during September was 0.67°C (1.21°F) above the long-term 20th century average. This temperature ties with 2005 as the record warmest September in the 133-year period of record. The Northern Hemisphere tied with 2009 as second warmest on record, behind 2005. The Southern Hemisphere also ranked second warmest on record, behind 1997. It was also the highest departure from average for any month in the Southern Hemisphere since May 2010.

The average global land surface temperature was the third highest for September on record, behind 2009 (highest) and 2005 (second highest), with widespread warmth around the globe. It was the third warmest September over land in the Northern Hemisphere and fourth warmest in the Southern Hemisphere. In the higher northern latitudes, parts of east central Russia observed record warmth, as did parts of Venezuela, French Guinea, and northern Brazil closer to the tropics. Nearly all of South America was much warmer than average as were western Australia and central to eastern Europe. Far eastern Russia, a few regions in southern Africa, and parts of China were cooler than average.

Select national information is highlighted below:

    • Following the second warmest summer (June–August) for Hungary since national records began in 1900, monthly temperatures remained above average across the entire country during September, ranging from about 1.0°–3.5°C (1.8°–6.3°F) above the 1971–2000 average, according to the country’s national meteorological service, Országos Meteorológiai Szolgálat.

 

    • Australia experienced its third warmest September since records began in 1950, with the nationally-averaged maximum temperature 1.94°C (3.49°F) above the 1961–1990 average. The minimum temperature was also above average but not quite as extreme as the maximum, at 0.42°C (0.76°F) above the long-term average.

 

    • According to Argentina’s national meterological service, Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, the monthly-averaged daily, maximum, and minimum temperatures were all above normal across Argentina, particularly in the central and northern regions of the country. Record high September minimum temperatures were observed across parts of the midwest.

 

    • As indicated in the land and ocean temperature percentiles map above, Japan observed record warmth during September. According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, the greatest warmth was observed across northern Japan (regions of Hokkaido and Tohuko), which was 3.7°C (6.7°F) above average. It was below average across Okinawa, which had been impacted by Super Typhoons Sanba (middle of the month) and Jelawat (end of the month).

 

  • With warm temperatures during the first half of the month transitioning to cooler temperatures brought about by a strong low pressure system, the average September temperature across the United Kingdom was 0.7°C (1.3°F) below the 1981–2010 average. This marks the coolest September for the region since 1994, according to the UK Met Ofiice.

The globally-averaged ocean temperature tied with 1997 as second highest for September, behind 2003, at 0.55°C (0.99°F) above the long-term average. This was also the highest departure from average for any month since May 2010. Much of the anomalous warmth was generated in the central western Pacific and the northeastern and equatorial North Atlantic Oceans, all of which observed record warmth in some areas. Most of the Indian Ocean was also warmer than average, with some record warmth observed off the southwestern Australian coast. Cooler-than-average temperatures were present in regions of the northeastern and southeastern Pacific Ocean. In the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, borderline ENSO-neutral / weak El Niño conditions were present as surface temperatures remained above average. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, these conditions are likely to continue throughout the Northern Hemisphere winter 2012/13, with possible strengthening to warm-phase El Niño conditions during the next few months. In addition to influencing seasonal climate outcomes in the United States, El Niño is often, but not always, associated with global temperatures that are higher than the general trend.

September Anomaly Rank
(out of 133 years)
Records
°C °F Year(s) °C °F
Global
Land +1.02 ± 0.25 +1.84 ± 0.45 3rd Warmest Warmest: 2009 +1.06 +1.91
131st Coolest Coolest: 1912 -0.79 -1.42
Ocean +0.55 ± 0.04 +0.99 ± 0.07 2nd Warmest Warmest: 2003 +0.58 +1.04
132nd Coolest Coolest: 1912 -0.46 -0.83
Ties: 1997
Land and Ocean +0.67 ± 0.11 +1.21 ± 0.20 1st Warmest Warmest: 2005, 2012 +0.67 +1.21
133rd Coolest Coolest: 1912 -0.55 -0.99
Ties: 2005
Northern Hemisphere
Land +1.04 ± 0.26 +1.87 ± 0.47 3rd Warmest Warmest: 2005 +1.18 +2.12
131st Coolest Coolest: 1912 -0.93 -1.67
Ocean +0.61 ± 0.04 +1.10 ± 0.07 4th Warmest Warmest: 2003 +0.67 +1.21
130th Coolest Coolest: 1912 -0.56 -1.01
Land and Ocean +0.77 ± 0.15 +1.39 ± 0.27 2nd Warmest Warmest: 2005 +0.83 +1.49
132nd Coolest Coolest: 1912 -0.70 -1.26
Southern Hemisphere
Land +0.97 ± 0.21 +1.75 ± 0.38 3rd Warmest Warmest: 2007 +1.13 +2.03
131st Coolest Coolest: 1894 -0.78 -1.40
Ties: 2011
Ocean +0.51 ± 0.05 +0.92 ± 0.09 3rd Warmest Warmest: 1997 +0.57 +1.03
131st Coolest Coolest: 1911 -0.52 -0.94
Ties: 2003
Land and Ocean +0.58 ± 0.09 +1.04 ± 0.16 2nd Warmest Warmest: 1997 +0.66 +1.19
132nd Coolest Coolest: 1911 -0.56 -1.01
Year-to-date (January–September)

The year-to-date globally-averaged temperature anomaly across land and oceans combined has been steadily increasing since February as a cold phase La Niña (at least 0.5°C / 0.9°F below the 1981–2010 average) in the equatorial Pacific Ocean at the beginning of the year transitioned into ENSO-neutral conditions that bordered the threshold for warm El Niño conditions (at least 0.5°C / 0.9°F above average) by August. The global land and ocean temperature for the first nine months (January–September) of 2012 was 0.57°C (1.03°F) above the 20th century average, ranking as the eighth warmest since records began in 1880. If this warmth continues through the end of the year, 2012 will surpass 2011 as the warmest La Niña year since the Climate Predition Center began monitoring ENSO conditions in 1950.

The January–September global land surface temperature ranked as the sixth warmest such period on record. In the Northern Hemisphere, where the majority of Earth’s land masses are located, the year-to-date temperature was the fourth warmest on record, largely attributed to monthly record warmth during April, May, June, and July. Across the globe, temperatures were much warmer than average across most of the Americas, southern and eastern Africa, southern and southeastern Asia, east central Russia, and most of central and eastern Europe. Record warmth was observed across the eastern two-thirds of the United States and south central Canada.

The global ocean temperature for the year-to-date was the 10th warmest such period on record, with much warmer than average temperatures present across much of the North Atlantic, Indian, and western Pacific oceans. Cooler-than-average temperatures spanned much of the northeastern and east central Pacific Ocean.

January–September Anomaly Rank
(out of 133 years)
Records
°C °F Year(s) °C °F
Global
Land +0.95 ± 0.22 +1.71 ± 0.40 6th Warmest Warmest: 2007 +1.10 +1.98
128th Coolest Coolest: 1893 -0.67 -1.21
Ocean +0.43 ± 0.04 +0.77 ± 0.07 10th Warmest Warmest: 1998 +0.56 +1.01
124th Coolest Coolest: 1911 -0.49 -0.88
Ties: 2007
Land and Ocean +0.57 ± 0.10 +1.03 ± 0.18 8th Warmest Warmest: 1998, 2010 +0.68 +1.22
126th Coolest Coolest: 1911 -0.50 -0.90
Northern Hemisphere
Land +1.06 ± 0.27 +1.91 ± 0.49 4th Warmest Warmest: 2007 +1.24 +2.23
130th Coolest Coolest: 1884, 1893 -0.75 -1.35
Ocean +0.44 ± 0.05 +0.79 ± 0.09 10th Warmest Warmest: 2005, 2010 +0.56 +1.01
124th Coolest Coolest: 1910, 1913 -0.48 -0.86
Land and Ocean +0.67 ± 0.15 +1.21 ± 0.27 6th Warmest Warmest: 2010 +0.77 +1.39
128th Coolest Coolest: 1904, 1913 -0.51 -0.92
Southern Hemisphere
Land +0.67 ± 0.14 +1.21 ± 0.25 8th Warmest Warmest: 2005 +0.93 +1.67
126th Coolest Coolest: 1917 -0.73 -1.31
Ties: 2011
Ocean +0.44 ± 0.04 +0.79 ± 0.07 10th Warmest Warmest: 1998 +0.58 +1.04
124th Coolest Coolest: 1911 -0.52 -0.94
Ties: 1997, 2011
Land and Ocean +0.48 ± 0.07 +0.86 ± 0.13 10th Warmest Warmest: 1998 +0.64 +1.15
124th Coolest Coolest: 1911 -0.54 -0.97
Ties: 2007

The most current data September be accessed via the Global Surface Temperature Anomalies page.

[ top ]


Images of sea surface temperature conditions are available for all weeks during 2012 from the weekly SST page.


Precipitation

The maps below represent precipitation percent of normal (left) and precipitation percentiles (right) based on the GHCN dataset of land surface stations using a base period of 1961–1990. As is typical, precipitation anomalies during September 2012 varied significantly around the world.

Collapse

Did You Know?

Global Precipitation Percentile Maps

Global anomaly maps are an essential tool when describing the current state of the climate across the globe. Precipitation anomaly maps tell us whether the precipitation observed for a specific place and time period (for example, month, season, or year) was drier or wetter than a reference value, which is usually a 30-year average, and by how much.

The August 2012 Global State of the Climate report introduces percentile maps that complement the information provided by the anomaly maps. These new maps provide additional information by placing the precipitation anomaly observed for a specific place and time period into historical perspective, showing how the most current month, season or year compares with the past.

Precipitation Climatological RankingIn order to place the month, season, or year into historical perspective, each grid point’s precipitation values for the time period of interest (for example all August values from 1900 to 2012) are sorted from driest to wettest, with ranks assigned to each value. The numeric rank represents the position of that particular value throughout the historical record. The length of record increases with each year. It is important to note that each grid point’s period of record may vary, but all grid points displayed in the map have a minimum of 80 years of data. For example, considering a grid point with a period of record of 113 years, a value of “1″ in the precipitation record refers to record driest, while a value of “113″ refers to record wettest.

The Drier than Average, Near Average, and Wetter than Average shadings on the precipitation percentile maps represent the bottom, middle, and upper tercile (or three equal portions) of the sorted values or distribution, respectively. Much Drier than Average and Much Wetter than Average, refer to the lowest and uppermost decile (top or bottom 10 percent) of the distribution, respectively. For a 113-year period, Drier than Average (Wetter than Average) would represent one of the 38 driest (wettest) such periods on record. However, if the value ranked among the 11 driest (wettest) on record, that value would be classified as Much Drier than Average (Much Wetter than Average). Near Average would represent an average precipitation value that was in the middle third (rank of 39 to 75) on record.

More about climate monitoring…

    • Seasonal rainfall in western and central Africa was unusually heavy during September, leading to flood conditions that stretched from Senegal eastward to Chad.

 

    • The South Asian monsoon season in India starts around the beginning of June and lasts into October. The monsoon stalled over northwestern India before beginning its annual withdrawal, bringing excessive rainfall to most of the region during the month of September. The heavy rainfall brought seasonal precipitation totals to within the normal range and alleviated drought conditions for much, but not all, of the country. For this year’s monsoon period to date (1 June – 30 September), most provinces in India reported rainfall in the normal range (81–119 percent of average), with the exception of several provinces in the south and east and a few in the north that observed deficient rainfall (61–80 percent of average). For the period June–September, India as a whole experienced rainfall that was 92 percent of average, within the normal range, according to the India Meteorological Department.

 

    • Several countries in eastern Europe, including Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria, and Poland, experienced drought during September. It was one of worst droughts for Hungary in two decades.

 

    • During mid-September, Super Typhoon Sanba—the year’s first category 5 storm among all tropical cyclone basins—brought locally heavy rainfall to Okinawa Island, Japan, parts of the Philippines, including the capital city of Manilla, and both North and South Korea. Super Typhoon Jelawat—the year’s second category 5 storm—also impacted part of the eastern Philippines and parts of Japan, including Okinawa and Tokyo.

 

Additional details on flooding and drought events around the world can also be found on the September 2012 Global Hazards page.

[ top ]


References

Peterson, T.C. and R.S. Vose, 1997: An Overview of the Global Historical Climatology Network Database. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 2837-2849.

Quayle, R.G., T.C. Peterson, A.N. Basist, and C. S. Godfrey, 1999: An operational near-real-time global temperature index. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 333-335.

Smith, T.M., and R.W. Reynolds (2005), A global merged land air and sea surface temperature reconstruction based on historical observations (1880-1997), J. Clim., 18, 2021-2036.

Smith, et al (2008), Improvements to NOAA’s Historical Merged Land-Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880-2006), J. Climate., 21, 2283-2293.

[ top ]


Citing This Report

NOAA National Climatic Data Center, State of the Climate: Global Analysis for September 2012, published online October 2012, retrieved on October 23, 2012 from http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2012/9.
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | Comments closed

Cuttlefish Colony Facing Extinction

Australia — One of the world’s strangest looking fish, the cuttlefish, use to come off the coast of Australia by the hundreds of thousands to mate. Over the past years, the numbers have drastically declined.

Sepia apama: Giant Australian Cuttlefish

We are looking to reconcile conflicts between ecotourism and fishing of this iconic species.

Each year, during the winter months, Sepia apama (giant Australian cuttlefish) aggregate in the shallow waters near Whyalla to breed. The breeding aggregation is so large at times (one cuttle per square meter) that it has attracted a number of ‘user groups’. Prior to mid 1990s, the aggregation was fished at sustainable levels for snapper bait. However, in the mid 90’s, fishers actively targeted cuttlefish, and large numbers of the breeding aggregation were removed from the system. The lifecycle of many cephalopods (squid, cuttlefish and octopus) is very short, and their lives end after laying eggs. This means if you fish out one cohort of breeders, the following generation is going to be severely impacted. To avoid long-term population decline, even local extinction, a renewable moratorium preventing fishing was introduced. In subsequent years, the cuttlefish numbers increased again, and ecotourism in the area began to thrive.

Why are the cuttlefish so popular?Cuttlefish mating
The sheer number of animals makes the breeding aggregations unique, not just in Australia, but the world. Together with the ability to watch their amazing mating displays and quirky behaviours, the Whyalla cuttlefish have become a global phenomenon, with scientists, naturalists, recreational divers and snorkellers wanting to documenting their activities.

Cuttlefish mating occurs in pairs. With such an enormous population, you can imagine the competition between males to mate with a female is quite intense. This is where the behaviour becomes quite interesting: large males are bigger and easily outcompete other males for female attention. Smaller males, not wanting to miss out on the opportunity to mate, change colours and body patterns to look like a female (hence ‘cross-dressing’ cuttlefish!). The large male that has paired up with a female allows this extra ‘female’ to get quite close. When he is distracted, the cross-dressing male quickly reverts back to normal male patterns and colours, mates with the female, and quickly swims away from the unsuspecting large male without a potentially fatal fight.

So, in summary, even on snorkel, you can see a range of cuttlefish antics: instant and dramatic colour changes, cross dressing and ‘sneaky sex’, guarding and fighting, mating and egg laying.

What the project is doing
While there have been professors (e.g. world-renowned cephalopod biologists Dr Roger Hanlon and Dr Mark Norman), Ph.D and honours students (e.g. Dr Karina Hall and Karin Kassahn, Adelaide University) working on behaviour, and population biology, much remains unknown. For instance, we don’t have a good understanding of where the cuttlefish in the breeding aggregation are coming from. We don’t know the extent of their movements after they hatch from the ‘natal’ area. We don’t know how many populations make up the aggregation. It is critical that we know the answer to these questions if the resource is going to be effectively managed.

The approach we are taking is multidisciplinary, with 5 main questions addressed. By using molecular, chemistry and morphological information, we will provide the most detailed description of population structure in any cuttlefish species that will serve as a model for studies of other species, especially in light of the increase in fishing interests in cephalopods globally. With knowledge of migratory movements within and away from the breeding aggregation, we will be able to design and recommend an appropriate marine protected area in the upper Spencer Gulf.

If you have any further queries about our approach to sustain giant Australian cuttlefish in southern Australia, please contact one of our personnel listed below.

Personnel:
Melita de Vries (Southern Seas Ecology Laboratories; University of Adelaide)
Dr Bronwyn Gillanders (Southern Seas Ecology Laboratories; University of Adelaide)
Dr Steve Donnellan (Evolutionary Biology Unit; South Australian Museum)

 

Funding:
Australian Research Council Linkage Grant
University of Adelaide
South Australian Museum
Department of Environment and Heritage
Nature Foundation
PIRSA
SARDI Aquatic Sciences

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | Comments closed
  • RSS Global Warming

  • RSS State Of The Climate

    • November 2012 Wildfires
      For November 2012, 3,694 fires (5th most on record) burned 152,697 acres (7th most on record) , which is 41.3 acres burned/fire (7th most on record). For September-November, 10,981 fires (4th most on record) burned 1,431,323 acres (4th most on record) , which is 130.3 acres burned/fire (3rd most on record). For January-November, 55,505 fires (the most on rec […]
    • November 2012 National Overview
      The average temperature for the contiguous U.S. during November was 44.1°F, 2.1°F above the 20th century average, tying 2004 as the 20th warmest November on record. The contiguous U.S. temperature of 54.7°F was the 21st warmest autumn, 1.1°F above average. The autumn precipitation total for the contiguous U.S. was 5.71 inches, 1.0 inch below average. […]
    • November 2012 Synoptic Discussion
      The weather pattern this time of year normally consists of the seasonal battle between subtropical high pressure (High, or upper-level ridge) to the south and the polar jet stream and associated storm track to the north. As the sun angle decreases during Northern Hemisphere autumn and early winter, polar air masses get colder and expand the polar jet toward […]
  • Archives

  • Archives