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Interest Rates
- US: H15 -0.95 2012-06-28 FRB Market yield on U.S. Treasury securities at 5-year constant maturity, quoted on investment basis, inflation-indexed
- US: H15 0.15 2012-06-28 FRB Federal funds effective rate
- US: H15 0.12 2012-06-28 FRB 30-Day AA Nonfinancial Commercial Paper Interest Rate
- US: H15 0.63 2012-06-28 FRB Rate paid by fixed-rate payer on an interest rate swap with maturity of three year.
- US: H15 ND 2012-06-28 FRB 60-Day AA Nonfinancial Commercial Paper Interest Rate
Trade (FTC)
- FTC Alert: Federal Government Not Offering "Free" Money to Pay Your BillsHave you heard the federal government will pay your bills? Don't be fooled; it's a scam. […]
- FTC Alert: Federal Government Not Offering "Free" Money to Pay Your Bills
Commerce News
- Notice of multistakeholder process open meeting July 12, 2012Topics: Internet Policy Task Force Privacy Internet Policy Date: June 28, 2012 The July 12, 2012, meeting will be the first in a series of NTIA-convened multistakeholder discussions concerning mobile application transparency. Stakeholders will engage in an open, transparent, consensus-driven process to develop a code of conduct regarding mobile application […]
- Notice of multistakeholder process open meeting July 12, 2012
Small Business News
- Advocacy Request for Quotations (RFQs)Page Title: Advocacy Request for Quotations (RFQs) Page summary: The Office of Advocacy seeks researchers, to perform economic research via a request for quotations (RFQ's). These RFQ’s are for competitive contracts and are not research grants. The proposal solicitations and synopses are listed in FedBizOpps. The Office of Advocacy seeks researchers, […]
- Advocacy Request for Quotations (RFQs)
Monetary Policy
- Federal Reserve Board and Treasury Department agree that Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) requires less credit protection as it winds down
- Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the June 19-20 FOMC meeting
- Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
Cost Estimates
- S. 3264, a bill to amend the Federal Water Pollution Control Act to reauthorize the Lake Pontchartrain Basin Restoration ProgramAs ordered reported by the Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works on June 21, 2012 read more […]
- H.R. 4367, a bill to amend the Electronic Fund Transfer Act to limit the fee disclosure requirement for an automatic teller machine to the screen of that machineAs ordered reported by the House Committee on Financial Services on June 27, 2012 read more […]
- S. 2165, United States-Israel Enhanced Security Cooperation Act of 2012As ordered reported by the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations on June 19, 2012 S. 2165 would extend programs to provide assistance to Israel and require the President to report to the Congress on aspects of our relationship with that country. CBO estimates that implementing the bill would not have a significant impact on the federal budget. Pay-as-you-go […]
- S. 3264, a bill to amend the Federal Water Pollution Control Act to reauthorize the Lake Pontchartrain Basin Restoration Program
Banking
- Banking Agencies Issue Host State Loan-to-Deposit RatiosThe Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency today issued the host state loan-to-deposit ratios that the banking agencies will use to determine compliance with section 109 of the Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994. These rati […]
- Banking Agencies Issue Host State Loan-to-Deposit Ratios
Gross Domestic Product, 1st quarter 2012 (3rd estimate); Corporate Profits, 1st quarter 2012 (revised estimate)
CORRECTION: The PDF version of the tables accompanying the GDP news release posted at 8:30 AM this morning, June 28, 2012, were the tables for the “second” estimate for 2012QI released last month. The PDF tables for the “third” estimate have now been posted. If users downloaded the PDF version between 8:30 AM and approximately 9:10 AM, they should download it again. (The news release text and the text version of the news release tables were the correct vintage in the original posting.)
EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EDT, THURSDAY, JUNE 28, 2012BEA 12-29
* See the navigation bar at the right side of the news release text for links to data tables,
contact personnel and their telephone numbers, and supplementary materials.
Lisa S. Mataloni: (202) 606-5304 (GDP) gdpniwd@bea.gov
Andrew Hodge: (202) 606-5564 (Profits) cpniwd@bea.gov
Recorded message: (202) 606-5306
Ralph Stewart: (202) 606-2649 (News Media)
Jeannine Aversa: (202) 606-2649 (News Media)
National Income and Product Accounts
Gross Domestic Product: First Quarter 2012 (third estimate);
Corporate Profits: First Quarter 2012 (revised estimate)
Real gross domestic product — the output of goods and services produced by labor and property
located in the United States — increased at an annual rate of 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2012 (that
is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter), according to the “third” estimate released by the Bureau
of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 3.0 percent.
The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for
the “second” estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was also 1.9
percent (see “Revisions” on page 3).
The increase in real GDP in the first quarter reflected positive contributions from personal
consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, residential fixed investment, nonresidential fixed investment,
and private inventory investment that were partly offset by negative contributions from federal
government spending and state and local government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the
calculation of GDP, increased.
The deceleration in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected decelerations in private
inventory investment and in nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by accelerations in
PCE, in exports, and in residential fixed investment and a deceleration in imports.
______________
BOX.
Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts
The annual revision of the national income and product accounts (NIPAs), covering the first
quarter of 2009 through the first quarter of 2012, will be released along with the “advance” estimate of
GDP for the second quarter of 2012 on July 27, 2012. The August Survey of Current Business will
contain an article that describes the annual revision in detail.
______________
FOOTNOTE. Quarterly estimates are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates, unless otherwise specified.
Quarter-to-quarter dollar changes are differences between these published estimates. Percent changes are
calculated from unrounded data and are annualized. “Real” estimates are in chained (2005) dollars. Price
indexes are chain-type measures.
This news release is available on BEA’s Web site along with the Technical Note and Highlights related to
this release. For information on revisions, see “Revisions to GDP, GDI, and Their Major
Components.”
______________
Motor vehicle output added 1.16 percentage points to the first-quarter change in real GDP after
adding 0.47 percentage point to the fourth-quarter change. Final sales of computers subtracted 0.05 percentage
point from the first-quarter change in real GDP after adding 0.12 percentage point to the fourth-quarter change.
The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents,
increased 2.6 percent in the first quarter; this index increased 1.1 percent in the fourth quarter.
Excluding food and energy prices, the price index for gross domestic purchases increased 2.4 percent in
the first quarter, compared with an increase of 1.2 percent in the fourth.
Real personal consumption expenditures increased 2.5 percent in the first quarter, compared with
an increase of 2.1 percent in the fourth. Durable goods increased 13.7 percent, compared with an
increase of 16.1 percent. Nondurable goods increased 2.1 percent, compared with an increase of 0.8
percent. Services increased 0.8 percent, compared with an increase of 0.4 percent.
Real nonresidential fixed investment increased 3.1 percent, compared with an increase of 5.2
percent in the fourth. Nonresidential structures increased 1.9 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 0.9
percent. Equipment and software increased 3.5 percent, compared with an increase of 7.5 percent. Real
residential fixed investment increased 20.0 percent, compared with an increase of 11.6 percent.
Real exports of goods and services increased 4.2 percent in the first quarter, compared with an
increase of 2.7 percent in the fourth. Real imports of goods and services increased 2.7 percent,
compared with an increase of 3.7 percent.
Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 5.9 percent
in the first quarter, compared with a decrease of 6.9 percent in the fourth. National defense decreased
8.3 percent, compared with a decrease of 12.1 percent. Nondefense decreased 0.8 percent, in contrast to
an increase of 4.5 percent. Real state and local government consumption expenditures and gross
investment decreased 2.7 percent, compared with a decrease of 2.2 percent.
The change in real private inventories added 0.10 percentage point to the first-quarter change in
real GDP, after adding 1.81 percentage points to the fourth-quarter change. Private businesses increased
inventories $54.4 billion in the first quarter, following an increase of $52.2 billion in the fourth quarter
and a decrease of $2.0 billion in the third.
Real final sales of domestic product — GDP less change in private inventories — increased 1.8
percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 1.1 percent in the fourth.
Gross domestic purchases
Real gross domestic purchases — purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever
produced — increased 1.7 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 3.1 percent in the
fourth.
Gross national product
Real gross national product — the goods and services produced by the labor and property
supplied by U.S. residents — increased 0.5 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 1.8
percent in the fourth. GNP includes, and GDP excludes, net receipts of income from the rest of the
world, which decreased $44.3 billion in the first quarter after decreasing $36.7 billion in the fourth; in
the first quarter, receipts decreased $19.6 billion, and payments increased $24.6 billion.
Current-dollar GDP
Current-dollar GDP — the market value of the nation’s output of goods and services — increased
3.9 percent, or $148.4 billion, in the first quarter to a level of $15,467.8 billion. In the fourth quarter,
current-dollar GDP increased 3.8 percent, or $143.3 billion.
Gross domestic income
Real gross domestic income (GDI), which measures the output of the economy as the costs
incurred and the incomes earned in the production of GDP, increased 3.1 percent in the first quarter,
compared with an increase of 2.6 percent in the fourth. For a given quarter, the estimates of GDP and
GDI may differ for a variety of reasons, including the incorporation of largely independent source data.
However, over longer time spans, the estimates of GDP and GDI tend to follow similar patterns of
change.
Revisions
The “third” estimate of the first-quarter increase in real GDP is the same as in the “second”
estimate issued last month, reflecting a downward revision to imports and an upward revision to
nonresidential fixed investment that were offset by downward revisions to exports, to personal
consumption expenditures, and to private inventory investment.
Advance Estimate Second Estimate Third Estimate
(Percent change from preceding quarter)
Real GDP…………………………………… 2.2 1.9 1.9
Current-dollar GDP………………………….. 3.8 3.6 3.9
Gross domestic purchases price index………….. 2.4 2.4 2.6
Corporate Profits
Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments) decreased $6.4 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of $16.8
billion in the fourth quarter. Current-production cash flow (net cash flow with inventory valuation
adjustment) — the internal funds available to corporations for investment — decreased $123.9 billion in
the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of $44.8 billion in the fourth.
Taxes on corporate income increased $83.3 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of
$0.7 billion in the fourth. Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments
decreased $89.7 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of $17.5 billion in the fourth.
Dividends increased $10.1 billion compared with an increase of $10.3 billion; current-production
undistributed profits decreased $99.8 billion in contrast to an increase of $7.2 billion.
Domestic profits of financial corporations increased $26.3 billion in the first quarter, compared
with an increase of $29.9 billion in the fourth. Domestic profits of nonfinancial corporations increased
$15.4 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $28.4 billion in the fourth. In the first
quarter, real gross value added of nonfinancial corporations increased 3.8 percent. Profits per unit of
real product increased, reflecting an increase in unit prices and a decrease in unit labor costs; unit
nonlabor costs were unchanged.
The rest-of-the-world component of profits decreased $48.1 billion in the first quarter, compared
with a decrease of $41.5 billion in the fourth. This measure is calculated as (1) receipts by U.S.
residents of earnings from their foreign affiliates plus dividends received by U.S. residents from
unaffiliated foreign corporations minus (2) payments by U.S. affiliates of earnings to their foreign
parents plus dividends paid by U.S. corporations to unaffiliated foreign residents. The first-quarter
decrease was accounted for by an increase in payments and a decrease in receipts.
Profits before tax with inventory valuation adjustment is the best available measure of industry
profits because estimates of the capital consumption adjustment by industry do not exist. This measure
reflects depreciation-accounting practices used for federal income tax returns. According to this
measure, domestic profits of both financial and nonfinancial corporations increased. The increase in
nonfinancial industry profits reflected increases in all major industries; the largest increases were in
manufacturing and in “other” nonfinancial. Within manufacturing the increase was widespread; the
largest increases were in petroleum and coal products and in “other” durable goods.
Profits before tax increased $234.3 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $8.3
billion in the fourth. The before-tax measure of profits does not reflect, as does profits from current
production, the capital consumption and inventory valuation adjustments. These adjustments convert
depreciation of fixed assets and inventory withdrawals reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to
the current-cost measures used in the national income and product accounts. The capital consumption
adjustment decreased $230.4 billion in the first quarter (from $100.9 billion to -$129.5 billion),
compared with a decrease of $1.8 billion in the fourth. The inventory valuation adjustment decreased
$10.4 billion (from -$18.6 billion to -$29.0 billion), in contrast to an increase of $26.9 billion.
The large increase in first-quarter taxes on corporate income and the large decrease in the first-
quarter capital consumption adjustment mainly reflected the expiration of bonus depreciation claimed
under the Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance Reauthorization and Job Creation Act of 2010. For
detailed data, see the table “Net Effects of the Tax Acts of 2002, 2003, 2008, 2009, and 2010 on
Selected Measures of Corporate Profits” at www.bea.gov/national/xls/technote_tax_acts.xls. Profits
from current production are not affected because they do not depend on the depreciation-accounting
practices used for federal income tax returns; rather they are based on depreciation of fixed assets valued
at current cost and using consistent depreciation profiles based on used-asset prices. For more detail on
the effect of the changes in the tax act provisions on the capital consumption adjustment, see FAQ #999
on the BEA Web site, “Why does the capital consumption adjustment for domestic business decline so
much in the first quarters of 2011 and 2012?”
* * *
BEA’s national, international, regional, and industry estimates; the Survey of Current Business;
and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA’s Web site at www.bea.gov. By visiting
the site, you can also subscribe to receive free e-mail summaries of BEA releases and announcements.